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S&P 500 7,677 +0.3%MTD PerformanceNASDAQ 26,169 −2.6%MTD PerformanceTLT 81.68 +5.0%MTD PerformanceCOPPER 6.54 −0.3%MTD PerformanceGOLD 3,998 −3.8%MTD PerformanceDXY 102.0 +0.6%MTD PerformanceWTI 101.43 +12.2%MTD PerformanceVIX 18.4 +12.5%MTD PerformanceS&P 500 7,677 +0.3%MTD PerformanceNASDAQ 26,169 −2.6%MTD PerformanceTLT 81.68 +5.0%MTD PerformanceCOPPER 6.54 −0.3%MTD PerformanceGOLD 3,998 −3.8%MTD PerformanceDXY 102.0 +0.6%MTD PerformanceWTI 101.43 +12.2%MTD PerformanceVIX 18.4 +12.5%MTD Performance
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Macro Research

We connect the market’s key signals into one clear investment view.

The Long Arch, monthly
Special reports
Full research archive
Playbook Market Research
PlaybookMarket Research
Macro Research Report
Adnan Brkic, CFA
October 2026
The Long Arch
Key Takeaway

The market has been consolidating since spring, laying the groundwork for a rally that we expect to begin in November and extend into 2027.

Artificial intelligence is transforming how businesses operate and creating demand for computing power, electricity, and infrastructure. Geopolitical rivalry gives that buildout strategic urgency, as nations seek greater control over the technologies, energy supplies, and industrial capacity their economies depend on. In the United States, these pressures are helping drive a revival in domestic manufacturing. AI and automation can make domestic production more competitive, while new factories and data centers create further demand for energy, materials, and capital investment. The result is an investment cycle that reaches from software and semiconductors to factories, power grids, and commodities.

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Client Takeaways2 pages
The Long Arch — Client Takeaways sample, page 1 of 2The Long Arch — Client Takeaways sample, page 2 of 2

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A disciplined way to decide when to take risk and when to get defensive.

Weekly regime reading
Ten asset classes ranked
Model asset allocation
Sample Market Regime risk barometer with Lagging, Mixed and Leading zones; the fixed example points to Leading.
Static allocation example: U.S. Equities, Canadian Equities, Energy, International Equities and Real Assets, each at 20 percent. The bottom two cards are centered.
Sample allocation

ETF Research

Ranked Canadian ETF lists by asset class and ETF Models designed for clients.

Model holdings and weights
Weekly ETF rankings
Buy and sell reports
KYP Research
Real Assets25.0% held
38 funds ranked
Proprietary ranking scoreSample rankings
#TickerMERScore
1PRA0.70%
99
2CCOM0.66%
99
3RIRA1.30%
92
4QRET0.45%
83
5CGRA0.96%
75
6XETM0.59%
72
7XBM0.60%
69
8COPP0.78%
68
9ZMT0.61%
66
10CINF0.90%
60
10 of 38 funds shown · Illustrative member view

Equity Research

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A disciplined approach to growth, quality and income.
Growth
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+8.2pp
Excess return
Model +28.4%Benchmark +20.2%
Cash Flow Compounders
vs. S&P 500
+4.6pp
Excess return
Model +22.6%Benchmark +18.0%
Income model
Built around durable dividends
5.8%
Current yield

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Market Regime Risk ModelThe ETF Model — sleeve weights and the fund held in eachFull sleeve rankings, refreshed weeklySelection and zone switch logClient-friendly commentary
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